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New book from START researchers explores escalation management in global conflicts

A new book edited by Jonathan Wilkenfeld, research professor and the founder of START’s ICONS Project, and START senior researcher Egle Murauskaite considers the role of great-power competition in gray zone conflict.

In Escalation Management in International Crises: The United States and its Adversaries, an interdisciplinary team of academics and policy analysts employs cutting-edge empirical research to assess escalation management during international crises. Analysis of data from the past 100 years of crises is augmented with surveys, modeling, and simulations. The book’s contributors identify areas where classical deterrence theory is incompatible with the realities of the contemporary conflict environment and propose tools for managing future crises.

“The publication of this book is a timely reminder that we have much to learn if we hope to effectively manage escalation in future crises. While the Ukraine situation is fresh on our minds, we must also pay attention to crises in other regions that have the potential to ignite major conflicts both regionally and globally,” Wilkenfeld said. “Escalation in International Crises brings together policy analysts and academic experts in a unique partnership in exploring past crises in an effort to develop effective tools for managing the inevitable crises of the future.”

Contributors include Allison Astorino-Courtois, Corinne S. DeFrancisci, Robert J. Elder, Devin H. Ellis, Alexander H. Levis, Egle E. Murauskaite, David Quinn, Catarina P. Thomson, and Jonathan Wilkenfeld. You can learn more about this new text here.