The article introduces the Influence Messaging Impact Model (IM2), a framework for the evaluation of how well a message resonates with its intended audience. We tested the model through a survey experiment with over 6,000 respondents in Japan, the Philippines, South Korea, and Taiwan. Among the findings, the identity of the messenger alone shifted a message's effectiveness by as much as 15.2%, independent of the content itself.
Key findings:
- Individual value alignment was the strongest predictor of resonance in all four countries, although its weight in each country varied.
- Messenger credibility operates as a multiplier on content, with adjustments that ranged from ±8% in Japan to ±15.2% in South Korea.
- Security framing and "us versus them" identity framing failed to reach statistical significance in any of the four countries.
- Cognitive engagement predicted resonance in Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan but not in the Philippines, where narrative coherence, emotional impact, and issue salience carried greater weight.
Publication Information
Sin, Steve S., Markus Binder, and Megan Rutter. 2026. "Message Resonance Across Cultures: Toward Evidence-based Assessment." PRISM: The Journal of Emerging Threats | Complex Statecraft, Vol. 12, No. 1, September.