Radiological Threats

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Project Title	Investigators	Project Period
Threat and Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment (THIRA) Process	John Sawyer, Steve Sin	September, 2014 to June, 2015
The Threat of Pakistani Criminal Organizations: Assessing the Potential for Involvement in Radiological/Nuclear Smuggling, Collaboration with Terrorist Groups and the Potential to Destabilize the Pakistani State	Amy Pate, Gary Ackerman	April, 2012 to July, 2012
Radiological/Nuclear Adversaries Future Project	Gary Ackerman, John Sawyer	October, 2012 to December, 2013
Profiles of Incidents Involving CBRN and Non-state Actors (POICN) Database	Markus Binder	March, 2010 to June, 2018
PRND Capability Development Framework Mapping	John Sawyer, Marcus A. Boyd	December, 2012 to June, 2015
Organized and/or Transnational Crime/Drug Cartel Nexus with Illicit Radiological/Nuclear Trade, Smuggling and/or Terrorism in Europe and North, Sahelian and West Africa	Amy Pate, John Sawyer, Marcus A. Boyd, Steve Sin	September, 2013 to March, 2015
More Bang for the Buck?: Examining the Effect of Technological Change on Terrorist Use of Weapons of Mass Destruction	Gary Ackerman, Jeffrey Bale	July, 2005 to September, 2009
Mobile Radiation Detectors: Threat Perception and Device Acceptance	Brooke Liu, Elizabet Petrun Sayers, Gary Ackerman, Steve Sin, Thomas Guarrieri	April, 2014 to April, 2019
International and Regional Architecture Reports	Brandon Behlendorf, Emily Iarocci, Gary Ackerman, Steve Sin	May, 2012 to September, 2015
Integration of International Architecture Analysis	Brandon Behlendorf, Emily Iarocci, Gary Ackerman, John Sawyer	September, 2013 to March, 2015
Integrated Discovery of Emerging and Novel Technologies (IDENT)	Steve Sin	June, 2018 to July, 2020
Insider Threat for Inbound International Air Cargo	Gary Ackerman	October, 2013 to March, 2015
Global Terrorism Database (GTD) Acceleration	Erin Miller	January, 2019 to January, 2020
Global Terrorism Database (GTD)	Erin Miller, Gary LaFree, Laura Dugan	June, 2001 to January, 2020
Global Nuclear Detection Architecture: A Study of South Asia	Sharad Joshi	October, 2008 to September, 2009
Failure Points in Smuggling Networks	Brandon Behlendorf	September, 2013 to March, 2015
Dynamics of Terrorism and Counterterrorism Campaigns	Gary Ackerman, Joseph Young, R. Karl Rethemeyer, Victor Asal	July, 2014 to December, 2017
Distinctive Characteristics of Terrorist Groups	Gary LaFree, Laura Dugan	January, 2005 to June, 2009
Dissuading Adversaries and their Radiological/Nuclear Pathways: Integrating Deterrence Theory and Analytics in the Global Nuclear Detection Architecture (GNDA)	Amy Pate, Brandon Behlendorf, Gary Ackerman, John Sawyer, Steve Sin, Hamid Mohtadi, Marcus A. Boyd	October, 2013 to September, 2018
Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency SIGMA+	Thomas Guarrieri, Marcus A. Boyd, Steve Sin	July, 2018 to April, 2020
Country Reports on Terrorism - Statistical Annex	Gary LaFree, Erin Miller	May, 2012 to May, 2018
Cargo Aviation Insider Threat Assessment Tool (CAITAT)	Thomas Guarrieri	September, 2016 to December, 2018
Anatomizing Radiological and Nuclear Non-State Adversaries	Gary Ackerman, Jeffrey Bale, R. Karl Rethemeyer	June, 2012 to January, 2014
Advancing U.S. CWMD/CWMT Capabilities in Support of the SIGMA+ Program through Development of Anticipatory Human Social Systems Models and Adversary Weapon Selection Decision Processes	Steve Sin, Thomas Guarrieri	March, 2020 to March, 2022

Project Title	Publication Date	START Authors	Publication Type
WMD Terrorism: The Once and Future Threat	May 2018	Ackerman, Gary; Jacome, Michelle	Journal Article
WMD Terrorism Research: Whereto from Here?	July 2005	Ackerman, Gary	Journal Article
Unconventional Weapons and Technology (UWT) Research Division	October 2018		Project Fact Sheet
Transnational Illicit Trafficking (TransIT) Geospatial Tool: Project Fact Sheet	September 2013	Sawyer, John	Project Fact Sheet
The “New” Face of Transnational Crime Organizations (TCOs): A Geopolitical Perspective and Implications to U.S. National Security	May 2013	Pate, Amy; Ackerman, Gary; Johns, Mila	White Paper
The Interplay between Terrorism, Nonstate Actors, and Weapons of Mass Destruction: An Exploration of the Pinkerton Database	March 2005	LaFree, Gary; Dugan, Laura	Journal Article
The Future of Jihadists and WMD	November 2007	Ackerman, Gary	Book Chapter
The DNI's Open Source Center: An Organizational Communication Perspective	February 2007	Bean, Hamilton	Journal Article
Terrorist Organizational Factors and the Pursuit and Use of CBRN Terrorism	March 2006	Ackerman, Gary	Conference Paper
Terrorism Risk and Optimal Policy Response: Theory and Empirics	October 2019	Mohtadi, Hamid	Journal Article
Risk Analysis of Chemical, Biological, or Radionuclear Threats: Implications for Food Security	June 2009	Mohtadi, Hamid	Journal Article
Review of Bob Graham, et.al, World at Risk: The Report of the Commission on the Prevention of WMD Proliferation and Terrorism	June 2009	Ackerman, Gary	Book Review
Profiling the WMD Terrorism Threat	November 2008	Ackerman, Gary; Bale, Jeffrey	Book Chapter
Pick Your POICN: Introducing the Profiles of Incidents involving CBRN and Non-State Actors (POICN) Database	March 2019	Ackerman, Gary; Binder, Markus	Journal Article
Modeling Terrorist Attack Cycles as a Stochastic Process: Analyzing Chemical, Biological, Radiological, and Nuclear (CBRN) Incidents	August 2020	Guarrieri, Thomas; Clark, Tyler A.	Journal Article
Jihadist Ideology and Strategy and the Possible Employment of 'Weapons of Mass Destruction	November 2007	Bale, Jeffrey	Book Chapter
Introduction to the Forum: Non-State Actors, Terrorism, and Weapons of Mass Destruction	February 2005	Wilkenfeld, Jonathan; Asal, Victor	Journal Article
Insider Threat for Inbound International Air Cargo	October 2015	Matuzsan, Gabrielle; Ackerman, Gary; Tinsley, Herbert; Halverson, James; Jacome, Michelle	Research Brief
Gauging the Threat	August 2013	Ackerman, Gary; Pinson, Lauren	Journal Article
Dissuading Adversaries and Their RN Pathways: Integrating Deterrence Theory and Analytics in the GNDA	November 2018	Smith, Daniel; Sin, Steve	Research Brief
Defining Knowledge Gaps Within CBRN Terrorism Research	November 2008	Ackerman, Gary	Book Chapter
Countering Nuclear and Radiological Materials Illicit Trafficking Through Maritime Security Initiatives: Paper Tiger or Concrete Solution? A Case Study	May 2015	Sin, Steve	Conference Paper
Connections Can be Toxic: Terrorist Organizational Factors and the Pursuit of CBRN Weapons	February 2012	Ackerman, Gary; Rethemeyer, R. Karl; Asal, Victor	Journal Article
Conclusion	November 2007	Ackerman, Gary	Book Chapter
Chemical, Biological, Radiological and Nuclear (CBRN) Terrorism	April 2018	Ackerman, Gary	Book Chapter
Characteristics of Jihadists Who Use or Pursue CBRN: A Quantitative Approach	November 2007	Rethemeyer, R. Karl; Asal, Victor	Book Chapter
CBRN Activity and Attacks by Insurgent Organizations	October 2015	Ackerman, Gary; Rethemeyer, R. Karl; Asal, Victor	Research Brief
Application of a Profile Similarity Methodology for Identifying Terrorist Groups That Use or Pursue CBRN Weapons	September 2017	Ackerman, Gary; Milward, H. Brinton; Rethemeyer, R. Karl; Breiger, Ronald; Asal, Victor	Book Chapter
An Army of One: Assessing CBRN Pursuit and Use by Lone Wolves and Autonomous Cells	January 2014	Ackerman, Gary; Pinson, Lauren	Journal Article

Title	Byline
The Non-Conventional Threat CBRNe event series comes to America
START’s Steve Sin chaired CBRNe Asia 2014 conference	Laura Gonzalez
START workshop gives better understanding of CBRN technologies	Emily Bonta
START study leads to support for SLTT officials	Jessica Rivinius
START seeking 2014 Outstanding Article Award nominations	Jessica Rivinius
START researchers present work on transnational criminal organizations, terrorism and radiological/nuclear (RN) smuggling
START researchers available to discuss radioactive material stolen in Mexico	Jessica Rivinius
START researcher presents paper on preventing illegal weapons trafficking in international waters at CBRNe USA Conference	Samara Tu
START research contributes to radiation safety guide	Jessica Rivinius
START Newsletter: Global terrorism increasing; GTD 2012 dataset released; New cyber research
START launches online course on terror-crime nexus and CBRN	Beth Schwartz
START Announces Fellowships for 2005-06
START aims to strengthen defense capabilities against WMD-seeking terrorists	Laura Walker
START Advisory Board member quoted in "Daily Telegraph" and CNN
Scavenger hunt activity helps START team assess capability of mobile radiation detectors
Researcher Spotlight: Ronald Breiger	Emily Smith
Researcher Spotlight: Lauren Pinson	Nicholas Munson
New study shows alliances and not religious ideology are key to forecasting CBRN pursuit
New project seeks to provide DARPA with ways to deter CBRN attacks by non-state actors	Erin Copland
JOB OPPORTUNITY: START Special Research Projects IT Assistant
Hybrid political criminal organizations pose RN smuggling threat
Hybrid organizations have greater motivational and operations ability for RN trafficking	Liz Wasden
Database Spotlight: Radiological and Nuclear Non-State Adversaries (RANNSAD)	Emily Bonta
Database spotlight: Big Allied and Dangerous (BAAD)	Emily Bonta
Current Job Opportunities at START
CBRN terrorism by non-state actors	Sacha Ginsberg
Breiger turns regression models 'inside out'	Emily Smith
Background Report: Truck carrying radioactive material stolen in Mexico

Title	Job Title	Institution
Victor Asal	Associate Professor of Political Science and Chair of Public Administration	University at Albany, State University of New York
Tyler A. Clark	Junior Researcher, UWT	University of Maryland
Steve Sin	Director, Unconventional Weapons and Technology (UWT) Subject Matter Expert Instructor, National Center for Security & Preparedness	University of Maryland
Prabhakar Misra	Professor of Physics	Howard University
Michelle Jacome	Operations Officer on International Finance Cooperation at the World Bank
Markus Binder	Project Manager/Researcher, START	University of Maryland
Marcus A. Boyd	Senior Researcher, GIS, START Director, Graduate Studies, START	University of Maryland
John Sawyer	Director of Strategic Corporate Research Relationships	University of Maryland
Gary Ackerman	Associate Professor, SUNY Albany	University at Albany, State University of New York
Brandon Behlendorf	Assistant Professor, College of Emergency Preparedness, Homeland Security and Cybersecurity, SUNY Albany	University at Albany, State University of New York